Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.031756 0.034158 0.036669 0.039494 0.042587 0.045875 0.049643
2025-06-01 0.027526 0.030884 0.034579 0.038961 0.044035 0.049750 0.056705
2025-06-08 0.024529 0.028388 0.032799 0.038243 0.044824 0.052575 0.062472
2025-06-15 0.022459 0.026648 0.031583 0.037877 0.045759 0.055398 0.068222
2025-06-22 0.020829 0.025235 0.030561 0.037545 0.046564 0.057961 0.073684
2025-06-29 0.019313 0.023816 0.029381 0.036855 0.046765 0.059655 0.078020
2025-07-06 0.018481 0.023178 0.029107 0.037254 0.048341 0.063174 0.084995
2025-07-13 0.017597 0.022400 0.028577 0.037243 0.049314 0.065885 0.090989
2025-07-20 0.016979 0.021923 0.028397 0.037661 0.050860 0.069444 0.098430
2025-07-27 0.016195 0.021174 0.027795 0.037436 0.051455 0.071642 0.103968
2025-08-03 0.015479 0.020472 0.027209 0.037183 0.051962 0.073706 0.109415
2025-08-10 0.014844 0.019847 0.026690 0.036982 0.052511 0.075833 0.115084
2025-08-17 0.014282 0.019302 0.026264 0.036898 0.053238 0.078296 0.121536
2025-08-24 0.013629 0.018597 0.025573 0.036378 0.053257 0.079639 0.126218
2025-08-31 0.012983 0.017873 0.024816 0.035711 0.052994 0.080491 0.130102
2025-09-07 0.012476 0.017328 0.024295 0.035372 0.053218 0.082131 0.135468
2025-09-14 0.012014 0.016828 0.023816 0.035067 0.053467 0.083809 0.141014
2025-09-21 0.011496 0.016223 0.023151 0.034431 0.053128 0.084452 0.144682
2025-09-28 0.011267 0.016041 0.023119 0.034798 0.054472 0.088068 0.154234
2025-10-05 0.010958 0.015725 0.022865 0.034789 0.055167 0.090576 0.161857
2025-10-12 0.010760 0.015571 0.022854 0.035173 0.056555 0.094407 0.172431
2025-10-19 0.010437 0.015210 0.022501 0.034967 0.056891 0.096324 0.179281
2025-10-26 0.010126 0.014855 0.022143 0.034733 0.057160 0.098124 0.186034